Global warming not for KiwisRichard Treadgold | June 8, 2011
- told us we’ve been warming
- warmed up to the warming
- watch the warming
- guard against the warming
But there’s been no warming — and NIWA’s graphs prove it. Not only that, but NIWA’s chief climate scientist says firmly that there’s little warming on the way.
So why is there now a giant bureaucracy in Wellington dedicated to “fighting” the warming? Why, in the 2008-09 financial year alone, have government contracts to research climate change been let worth over $2,700,000?
Claims of harm to New Zealand from future global warming have been made for a long time. Here are just a few to remind ourselves what we’ve been listening to for about 20 years.
In 2007, IPENZ (professional engineers), MfE (Environment Ministry) and NIWA (climate scientists) held one-day courses around the country on climate change. The 7SS graph of national temperatures was used, claiming an increase during the 20th Century of 0.7 °C.
They said climate change was going to affect us and “challenge the ability of engineers to plan, design and construct infrastructure and systems that will protect people from harm and maintain acceptable standards of economic well-being.” Which sounds quite serious to me.
On closer examination, they also said there would be, apparently simultaneously, droughts and floods. Which to me sounds incredible.
On 27 May 2008, a media release from NIWA announced new “projections” for climate change in New Zealand. Notably, it said that evidence that New Zealand is “already experiencing climate change” includes “increasing temperatures: about 0.9 ºC over the past 100 years.” That’s 0.2 °C more than the IPENZ course the previous year.
The release predicted increases of about 2 °C for New Zealand by 2090. The NZ Herald quoted David Wratt saying the evidence of climate change was mounting.
Our global warming minister, Nick Smith, reveals a curious approach to it. First, he’s only been in favour of the warming since National reached the Treasury benches in 2008. He confirmed Labour’s ETS (although weakened), even though he hated it just before the election. In 2005 he said:
The madness of the Government’s new carbon tax is that New Zealanders will be the only people in the world paying it. It will drive up the costs of living and undermine the competitiveness of New Zealand business for negligible environmental gain.
Now, of course, he’s all for our ETS, unique in the world for including all sectors and bringing even farmers into the filthy GHG emitters’ club.
Though Wratt says the evidence is mounting, he also claims our experience of warming will be “moderated” by the great ocean we live in.
That’s nice. Nothing to worry about, then.