This thread is for discussion and listing of climate science papers.
On the performance of models:
G. G. Anagnostopoulos et al. (2010) “A comparison of local and aggregated climate model outputs with observed data”
We compare the output of various climate models to temperature and precipitation observations at 55 points around the globe.We also spatially aggregate model output and observations over the contiguous USA using data from 70 stations, and we perform comparison at several temporal scales, including a climatic (30-year) scale.
Besides confirming the findings of a previous assessment study that model projections at point scale are poor, results show that the spatially integrated projections are also poor.
Bishop Hill reports that the Salzer et al.paper will play a prominent role in AR5, apparently suggesting that Bristlecone Pines are a reliable temperature proxy.
The subject of the Bristlecone Pines is discussed at length in BH’s book The Hockey Stick Illusion.
Five climate-forcing mechanisms govern 20,000 years of climate change
By Joachim Seifert and Frank Lemke
Published on: October 8, 2012 (18 pages)
Summary available here: http://www.knowledgeminer.eu/pdf/eoo_paper_summary.pdf
data! on! cycle!mechanics.! The! identification! of! 5! macro3climatic! drivers,!missing! in!
Sorry about the formatting of the above excerpt. Copy & paste from pdf glitch.
Another paper finds that climate sensitivity is low
Nic Lewis has had a paper published in Journal of Climate. It’s a reworking of the Forest et al 2006 paper on climate sensitivity, but removing the warm bias of Forest’s uniform prior, as well as dealing with some data issues.
“A pair of scientific journals accepted a nonsense paper from a made-up university with author names borrowed from The Simpsons TV show.”
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