This page is for discussion or presentation of news related to global warming and its issues.

252 Thoughts on “News

  1. Richard C (NZ) on January 22, 2014 at 8:30 am said:

    Google > News > Climate Science (you gotta laugh at this News category today)

    NASA Says 2013 Was Seventh Warmest Year – ‎1 hour ago‎

    NASA scientists say 2013 tied with 2009 and 2006 for the seventh warmest year since 1880

    NOAA Says 2013 Was The Fourth Warmest Year – ‎1 hour ago‎

    The globally averaged temperature for 2013 tied as the fourth warmest year since record keeping began in 1880, according to NOAA scientists.

    # # #

    Note that NOAA actually has 2013 in a tie with 2003 for fourth. I also like the usual NASA spin:

    “…..continuing a long-term trend of rising global temperatures”

    At least hints there’s a little more to the story:

    “….this appears to confirm that the so called pause in global warming that began around 1998 appears to have continued in 2013″

    But do they really have to use the word “appears” twice?

    It’s as if they can’t quite bring themselves to face the realisation of it all.

  2. Richard C (NZ) on January 22, 2014 at 6:42 pm said:

    Curiously the NASA article has already “disappeared” from the Google Climate Science News category but the NOAA article is still there.

    Apparently, fourth warmest is news at Google – but seventh warmest isn’t.

  3. Richard C (NZ) on January 23, 2014 at 7:25 am said:

    NASA article’s back and ahead of the NOAA one this morning – weird.

  4. Richard C (NZ) on June 16, 2014 at 6:19 pm said:

    ‘Greenpeace worker loses $5.5m in currency market gamble’

    The Hague: A Greenpeace employee has been fired after losing the environmental charity €3.8 million euros ($5.5 million) in a failed gamble on international currency markets.

    “Nothing suggests at this point that he acted for personal gain, it seems to be a terrible miscalculation,” Greenpeace communications director Mike Townsley said.

    The unnamed employee “went above his authority” in agreeing the deal with a broker who was meant to mitigate currency losses for the charity, he said.

    “The contract turned out to be a very bad one,” Mr Townsley said, adding that an internal investigation was under way.

    Netherlands-based Greenpeace, like many big charities, agrees fixed-rate foreign exchange deals with third-party brokers to try to protect themselves from world currency fluctuations.

    “It is common practice for organisations like ours, with a worldwide presence,” Mr Townsley said. “We would be too exposed to currency fluctuations and risk to lose a lot of money.”

    Greenpeace, known for its anti-drilling campaigns at oil rigs in the Arctic, has a total annual budget of around €300 million.

    No Greenpeace campaign would suffer as a result of the loss, which would be absorbed by reducing expenses such as infrastructure over the next two to three years.

    “We would like to apologise” to donors, Mr Townsley said. “We will do whatever it takes to make sure it doesn’t happen again.”

    Read more:

  5. Richard C (NZ) on September 11, 2014 at 12:43 pm said:

    ‘Bureau of Meteorology warms to transparency over adjusted records’

    Graham Lloyd, The Australian
    September 11, 2014 12:00AM [Paywall]

    THE Bureau of Meteorology has been forced to publish details of all changes made to historic temperature records as part of its homogenisation process to establish the nation’s climate change trend. Publication of the reasons for all data adjustments was a key recommendation of the bureau’s independent peer review panel which approved the bureau’s ACORN SAT methodology.

    ‘Scientists should know better: the truth was out there’

    Graham Lloyd, The Australian
    September 11, 2014 12:00AM [Paywall]

    IT reflects poorly on key members of Australia’s climate science establishment that tribal loyalty is more important than genuine inquiry. Openness not ad hominem histrionics was always the answer for lingering concerns about what happened to some of the nation’s temperature records under the Bureau of Meteorology’s process of homogenisation.

  6. Richard C (NZ) on September 12, 2014 at 10:54 am said:

    ‘Last decade’s slow-down in global warming enhanced by an unusual climate anomaly’

    Science Codex, September 11, 2014

    A hiatus in global warming ongoing since 2001 is due to a combination of a natural cooling phase, known as multidecadal variability (MDV) and a downturn of the secular warming trend. The exact causes of the latter, unique in the entire observational record going back to 1850, are still to be identified, according to an article by the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre (JRC).>>>>>>

    Whoop-de-doo – what sceptics have known for yonks. More in this thread (#58):

    And see #54/54.1 re Climategate:

    [2007] Wils:
 “What if climate change appears to be 
just mainly a multidecadal natural fluctuation?
 They’ll kill us probably

  7. Under pressure, Australian BOM puts up facade of “transparency” — too little, too late

    Graham Lloyd’s article in The Australian yesterday shows that the BOM is under pressure, but their lack of transparency continues, and this new page appears to be more like a public relations effort than a big advance scientifically.

    What Australia needs is a full working replication of the BOM methods and techniques — only then does a true scientific peer review process begin. If the BOM is so sure it’s doing obvious world’s best practice, why won’t it release the full code? Unpacking and replicating this detailed procedure would take months of analysis. If the Australian government is serious about our climate, they need to fund a proper independent study instead of leaving it to volunteers to do on the weekend, and hoping that someone with the right combination of IT, statistical, climate, and scientific skills will find it entertaining and want to do it for free.

  8. Richard C (NZ) on September 26, 2014 at 8:49 pm said:

    ‘Dogged lord [Stern] of climate change’

    By Chris Barton, NZ Herald. Sep 11, 2010

    […] What bothers him [Stern] most is the way deniers seize on “oscillations” or fluctuations in temperature and try to argue there is no trend. “If you’ve got an undergraduate student, trying to estimate the growth of the economy by joining a line between the peak of the last boom to the bottom of the last recession and think they are estimating the growth rate you would throw them out of class.”

    The same poor logic is used by deniers who try to argue temperature stopped rising 10 years ago – completely false when you look at the trend, ask about the overall average and apply knowledge about why decadal oscillations occur.

    “Ordinary sensible people looking at evidence will know that you have to take an average over time and if you do that you see every decade over the last five to six decades has been hotter than the previous ones.” […]

    # # #

    Big problem now for the dogged lord. Apart that is, four years on from 2010, that this current decade isn’t following the progression he describes. Stern’s problem is that it is not so much the “oscillations” now that “deniers” are arguing with e.g. multi-decadal variation (MDV), and the literature is documenting MDV “oscillations” now anyway, belatedly. MDV has another 18 years or so in negative phase. That by itself would prolong the “pause” until around 2032 so Stern will have to weather that (ha!) for some years in any case.

    No, Stern’s problem actually is the very trend he’s hanging his hat on. More precisely, the secular trend (ST) is turning down away from CO2. Here’s Stern’s nemesis:

    ‘Last decade’s slowdown in global warming enhanced by an unusual climate anomaly’

    Date: September 11, 2014
    Source: European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC)
    A hiatus in global warming ongoing since 2001 is due to a combination of a natural cooling phase, known as multidecadal variability (MDV) and a downturn of the secular warming trend [ST]. The exact causes of the latter, unique in the entire observational record going back to 1850, are still to be identified, according to a new article.

    Diego Macias, Adolf Stips, Elisa Garcia-Gorriz. Application of the Singular Spectrum Analysis Technique to Study the Recent Hiatus on the Global Surface Temperature Record. PLoS ONE, 2014; 9 (9): e107222 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0107222

    More, and see graph.

    I found the same turn down in the residual of an EMD analysis of HadSST2/3 a couple of years ago when prior to that the residual was turning up.

    The NZ blog TUMEKE! seized on the Herald article and quote above back in 2010:

    Time to eat crow TUMEKE!

  9. Richard C (NZ) on September 27, 2014 at 7:15 pm said:

    >”I found the same turn down in the residual of an EMD analysis of HadSST2/3 a couple of years ago when prior to that the residual was turning up”

    Not really news, so have several others in the literature e.g. see:

    ‘Multi-scale analysis of global temperature changes and trend of a drop in temperature in the next 20 years’

    Lin Zhen-Shan and Sun Xian
    With 6 Figures
    Received May 2, 2005; revised October 24, 2005; accepted April 6, 2006
    Published online: July 31, 2006 # Springer-Verlag 2006

    A novel multi-timescale analysis method, Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD), is used to diagnose the variation of the annual mean temperature data of the global, Northern Hemisphere (NH) and China from 1881 to 2002. The results show that: (1) Temperature can be completely decomposed into four timescales quasi-periodic oscillations including an ENSO-like mode, a 6–8-year signal, a 20-year signal and a 60-year signal, as well as a trend. With each contributing ration of the quasi-periodicity discussed, the trend and the 60-year timescale oscillation of temperature variation are the most prominent. (2) It has been noticed that whether on century-scale or 60-year scales, the global temperature tends to descend in the coming 20 years. (3) On quasi 60-year timescale, temperature abrupt changes in China precede those in the global and NH, which provides a denotation for global climate changes. Signs also show a drop in temperature in China on century scale in the next 20 years. (4) The dominant contribution of CO2 concentration to global temperature variation is the trend. However, its influence weight on global temperature variation accounts for no more than 40.19%, smaller than those of the natural climate changes on the rest four timescales. Despite the increasing trend in atmospheric CO2 concentration, the patterns of 20-year and 60-year oscillation of global temperature are all in falling. Therefore, if CO2 concentration remains constant at present, the CO2 greenhouse effect will be deficient in counterchecking the natural cooling of global climate in the following 20 years. Even though the CO2 greenhouse effect on global climate change is unsuspicious, it could have been excessively exaggerated. It is high time to re-consider the trend of global climate changes.–Xiuan-MeteorAtmosPhys-2007-d1227bc1-3183-456f-a935-69c263af1904.pdf

  10. Richard C (NZ) on October 2, 2014 at 10:09 am said:

    ‘Drought lengthened by climate change’

    OLIVIA WANNAN. Stuff 02/10/2014

    The evidence is in – humans have left a distinctive fingerprint at the 2013 drought crime scene.

    In an international paper released this week, New Zealand scientists have analysed climate models around the extreme weather event, which knocked at least $1.3 billion out of New Zealand’s economy.

    While the natural variations played a leading role, human activity was a definite accomplice, according to National Institute for Water and Atmospheric Research scientist Sam Dean.

    With two Victoria University and two fellow Niwa scientists, Dean used computer modelling to compare the 2013 climate over New Zealand with a simulation of the world “that might have been” without the greenhouse gases and chlorofluorocarbons that people have pumped into the atmosphere.

    “We found that the drought was a little more intense than it would have been without climate change.”

    In summer, greenhouse gases and the ozone hole intensified the high-pressure systems that brought dry weather, Dean said.

    >”greenhouse gases and the ozone hole intensified the high-pressure systems”

    This is new. How?

    [BTW, went to post this in ‘New Zealand’ – got 404 Not found, does not exist, etc]

  11. Brent Crude now down to $72 a barrel

    This is almost half the price it was earlier this year. Many layoffs and pay cuts coming in the industry

  12. Mike Jowsey on July 22, 2015 at 12:37 pm said:

    Kiribati “Climate Refugee” loses appeal
    Eric Worrall / 2 days ago July 20, 2015

    Kiribati man Ioane Teitiota has just lost his appeal to the New Zealand Supreme Court, to be recognised as the world’s first climate refugee.

    In comments,
    July 20, 2015 at 3:20 am

    Citation delivered:
    “How an unsuspecting farmworker from Kiribati became the brand ambassador of climate change—despite barely knowing what it was.”

    “In 2011, he had inadvertently overstayed his visa, so he filed a series of court appeals in a bid to stay in New Zealand. What he wanted was something straightforward: a visa extension. What he got, however, was an attorney who decided to present Teitiota as a casualty of climate change—and to set out to change international law.

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