Climate Conversation Group

3 Responses to “NIPCC”

1. THREAD says:

   October 17, 2010 at 4:17 am

   The 2009 report of the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC)

   Climate Change Reconsidered, was released on Tuesday, June 2, 2009, at a press conference at the Washington Court Hotel in Washington, DC, in conjunction with the Third International Conference on Climate Change. Heartland President Joseph Bast, editor of Climate Change Reconsidered, and authors Craig D. Idso Ph.D. and S. Fred Singer Ph.D.

   http://www.nipccreport.org/reports/2009/2009report.html

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2. Richard C (NZ) says:

   December 17, 2010 at 9:02 pm

   Paper: Climate models lack fundamentals to determine global warming

   Saturday, December 11, 2010

   As noted on the NIPCC website this week, a peer-reviewed paper published in Geophysical Research Letters concludes that climate models “lack — or incorrectly parameterize — fundamental processes by which surface temperatures respond to radiative forcings.” In other words, climate computer models used by the IPCC are fundamentally incorrect on predictions of global warming due to greenhouse gas concentrations ["radiative forcings"].

   “To distinguish between simultaneous natural and anthropogenic impacts on surface temperature, regionally as well as globally,” authors Lean and Rind performed “a robust multivariate analysis using the best available estimates of each together with the observed surface temperature record from 1889 to 2006.”

   Lean and Rind report that “contrary to recent assessments based on theoretical models (IPCC, 2007) the anthropogenic warming estimated directly from the historical observations is more pronounced between 45°S and 50°N than at higher latitudes,” which finding, in their words, “is the approximate inverse of the model-simulated anthropogenic plus natural temperature trends … which have minimum values in the tropics and increase steadily from 30 to 70°N.” Furthermore, as they continue, “the empirically-derived zonal mean anthropogenic changes have approximate hemispheric symmetry whereas the mid-to-high latitude modeled changes are larger in the Northern hemisphere.”

   Because of what their analysis revealed, the two researchers concluded that “climate models may therefore lack — or incorrectly parameterize — fundamental processes by which surface temperatures respond to radiative forcings.”

   Reference
   Lean, J.L. and Rind, D.H, 2008. How natural and anthropogenic influences alter global and regional surface temperatures: 1889 to 2006. Geophysical Research Letters 35: 10.1029/2008GL034864.

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3. Richard C (NZ) says:

   September 1, 2011 at 10:19 am

   New Report on Global Warming Contradicts U.N.’s IPCC

   According to the new report, “natural causes are very likely to be [the] dominant” cause of climate change that took place in the twentieth and at the start of the twenty-first centuries.

   The 430-page report was coauthored and edited by three climate science researchers: Craig D. Idso, Ph.D., editor of the online magazine CO2 Science and author of several books and scholarly articles on the effects of carbon dioxide on plant and animal life; Robert M. Carter, Ph.D., a marine geologist and research professor at James Cook University in Queensland, Australia; and S. Fred Singer, Ph.D., a distinguished atmospheric physicist and first director of the U.S. Weather Satellite Service. Seven additional scientists and one policy expert on sustainable growth made contributions to the volume.

   The book is titled Climate Change Reconsidered: 2011 Interim Report because it precedes a comprehensive volume that is expected to be released in 2013. It focuses on scientific research released since publication of Climate Change Reconsidered: The 2009 Report of the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC).

   Key findings, as outlined in the interim report’s executive summary, include:

   * “We find evidence that the models over-estimate the amount of warming that occurred during the twentieth century and fail to incorporate chemical and biological processes that may be as important as the physical processes employed in the models.”

   * “More CO2 promotes more plant growth both on land and throughout the surface waters of the world’s oceans, and this vast assemblage of plant life has the ability to affect Earth’s climate in several ways, almost all of them tending to counteract the heating effects of CO2’s thermal radiative forcing.”

   * “The latest research on paleoclimatology and recent temperatures [finds] new evidence that the Medieval Warm Period of approximately 1,000 years ago, when there was about 28 percent less CO2 in the atmosphere than there is currently, was both global and warmer than today’s world.”

   * “New research finds less melting of ice in the Arctic, Antarctic, and on mountaintops than previously feared, no sign of acceleration of sea-level rise in recent decades, no trend over the past 50 years in changes to the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC), and no changes in precipitation patterns or river flows that could be attributed to rising CO2 levels.”

   * “Amphibians, birds, butterflies, other insects, lizards, mammals, and even worms benefit from global warming and its myriad ecological effects.”

   * “Rising temperatures and atmospheric CO2 concentrations, by increasing crop yields, will play a major role in averting hunger and ecological destruction in the future.”

   * “The latest research suggests corals and other forms of aquatic life have effective adaptive responses to climate change enabling them to flourish despite or even because of climate change.”

   * “Global warming is more likely to improve rather than harm human health because rising temperatures lead to a greater reduction in winter deaths than the increase they cause in summer deaths.”

   * “Even in worst-case scenarios, mankind will be much better off in the year 2100 than it is today, and therefore able to adapt to whatever challenges climate change presents.”

   http://heartland.org/press-releases/2011/08/29/new-report-global-warming-contradicts-uns-ipcc

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